Which positions are most sensitive to exchange-rate swings?
A currency question asks how much of a portfolio moves with an exchange rate rather than with the assets themselves. A fund priced in one currency can hold assets in several, so the exposure is rarely the currency on the ticket.
Worked through on a sample portfolio. The figures below are that portfolio’s, not yours.
Here are the holdings that contribute most to portfolio volatility via currency and market moves — the ones whose value swings (including exchange-rate effects) most affect your portfolio volatility. I show the asset, its volatility contribution (%) and its annualized volatility (%).
| Asset | Volatility contribution (%) | Annualized volatility p.a. (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc. | 20,89 | 22,99 |
| Microsoft Corp. | 15,98 | 30,50 |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG | 14,51 | 30,67 |
| iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF | 10,69 | 9,00 |
| Bitcoin | 10,41 | 35,92 |
| Ethereum | 10,25 | 52,30 |
| MasterCard Inc. | 5,40 | 16,80 |
| SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF | 3,96 | 20,84 |
| Gold | 3,19 | 24,43 |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA UCITS ETF 1C | 2,48% | 9,78 |
| iShares Core MSCI EM IMI UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 2,27 | 16,53 |
What this table means: the top rows are the positions whose price moves (including those coming from exchange-rate changes for foreign-currency exposures) drive most of your portfolio volatility. Note that crypto and international stocks/ETFs appear among the largest contributors.
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