Is my portfolio too dependent on one macro outcome?
A market question puts a portfolio next to what the markets did — an index, a sector, a period. The comparison only means anything when both sides are measured over the same dates and in the same currency.
Worked through on a sample portfolio. The figures below are that portfolio’s, not yours.
To answer that I’ll show how concentrated your portfolio is across holdings, sectors, regions and asset classes so you can see which single macro outcome would matter most.
| Item | Share (%) |
|---|---|
| Top holding — Apple Inc. | 18,41% |
| Top 5 holdings (combined) | 65,64% |
| Stocks (asset class) — Stock | 49,09% |
| ETFs (asset class) — ETF | 31,21% |
| Crypto (asset class) — Crypto | 8,61% |
| Cash — Cash | 6,06% |
| Precious metal — Precious metal | 5,03% |
| Technology sector — Technology | 39,98% |
| United States (country) — United States | 62,45% |
| North America (region) — North America | 63,12% |
| Mega Cap (market cap) — Mega Cap | 53,50% |
What this means
- A single macro outcome that strongly affects US mega-cap technology (for example: US growth surprise, tech regulation, or a major interest-rate shock) would influence a large part of your portfolio because Technology is 39,98% and US exposure is 62,45%, with Mega Cap at 53,50%.
- Your largest single holding is Apple Inc. at 18,41% and the top 5 add up to 65,64%, so company- or sector-specific macro shocks could have outsized effects.
- Crypto is a distinct exposure at 8,61% and has high volatility contribution in your risk profile, so crypto-specific macro moves (regulation, sentiment) matter separately.
Notes and coverage
- Country coverage is 99,40%% and sector coverage is 99,95%%, so the breakdown reflects nearly all holdings.
- The holdings-by-volatility-contribution view shows which positions drive portfolio volatility most (Apple, Microsoft, Lufthansa, ETFs and crypto are top contributors).
If you want, I can show a short scenario that applies specific shocks (e.g. US tech -30%, crypto -40%) and compute the hypothetical portfolio impact with assumptions.
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Related questions
- What would happen to my portfolio if rates stay high for longer?
- What would happen to my portfolio if central banks start cutting rates?
- Which of my holdings are most exposed to commodity prices?
- Which of my holdings are most exposed to geopolitics?
- What macro assumptions am I implicitly making with this portfolio?
See this for your own portfolio
The assistant answers the same question about your own holdings, with your figures and today’s prices. Import from your broker, or open the demo portfolio and ask it there.
